Laura Jewett October 1, 2025
As the triple-digit days finally give way to crisp mornings and cooler evenings, Scottsdale’s real estate market is also shifting into its fall rhythm. Traditionally, this season brings subtle changes in buyer demand, seller motivation, and overall activity. But this year is different: after a slower-than-average spring and summer peak season, a recent drop in interest rates may fuel a busier-than-normal fall and holiday market.
Whether you’re planning to buy, sell, or simply keep an eye on the market, here’s what you need to know right now.
In most years, fall ushers in a steadier pace after the competitive spring and summer months. Families with school-aged children typically finish their moves by August, leaving fewer casual buyers in the market. But in 2025, with so many buyers having paused their searches earlier in the year, we may see a surge of pent-up demand play out this fall and even into the holiday season.
Another unique factor for Scottsdale is our winter “snowbird” season. Many second-home buyers and investors start their search in the fall so they can secure a property before January and February. With rates dropping just in time, sellers who list this fall may find themselves in front of both local and out-of-state buyers eager to move quickly.
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Mortgage rates remain the single biggest driver of buyer activity—and they’ve finally shifted in buyers’ favor. After months of sitting at elevated levels and keeping many would-be buyers on the sidelines, the recent drop has created renewed optimism.
Here’s what we’re seeing: buyers are no longer waiting for the “perfect” rate. Instead, many are stepping back into the market now, knowing they can refinance later if rates drop further. Sellers who recognize this shift are meeting buyers halfway—offering concessions, repair credits, or rate buydowns to help make deals work. The result? More opportunities for both sides this fall.
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Inventory: Housing supply in Scottsdale has ticked up slightly compared to last year, giving buyers more choices. However, well-located and move-in-ready homes still sell quickly, particularly as demand is expected to strengthen this fall.
Pricing: Price growth has leveled off from the double-digit surges of past years. Today, pricing is more nuanced: homes that are move-in-ready, energy-efficient, or updated with modern finishes are holding their value, while properties needing work may sit longer without a price adjustment.
Lifestyle Drivers: Scottsdale continues to attract buyers drawn to our unmatched lifestyle. From world-class golf courses and hiking in the McDowell Sonoran Preserve to the vibrant dining and arts scene in Old Town, location and lifestyle remain powerful factors that influence demand—even when national trends suggest caution.
Renewed Competition: With rates improving and more buyers re-entering, the fall market could feel busier than expected. Be prepared to act quickly on the right home.
Negotiation Opportunities: While competition may increase, buyers still have room for negotiation—particularly on concessions or closing cost credits.
Long-Term Value: Scottsdale’s history of appreciation and lifestyle demand makes buying now a smart long-term play, even if rates continue to fluctuate.
Stronger Buyer Pool Ahead: A combination of lower rates, pent-up demand, and seasonal snowbird activity means sellers may see more showings and stronger offers this fall and holiday season than in recent years.
Highlight Efficiency + Upgrades: Owned solar, new windows, and updated HVAC systems are high-value features in today’s market. Sellers who showcase these can stand out from the competition.
Presentation + Pricing Still Matter: While buyer demand is strengthening, pricing your home right and presenting it beautifully remain essential to attracting top offers. Staging, professional photography, and even small cosmetic updates (fresh paint, landscaping touch-ups) can make all the difference in helping your home stand out this season.
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After a softer-than-usual spring and summer, the Scottsdale market is poised for renewed activity this fall. The recent drop in interest rates, combined with seasonal snowbird demand, could make this fall and holiday season busier than average—creating opportunity for both buyers and sellers.
If you’re considering making a move, now may be the perfect window. With the right strategy and local guidance, your real estate goals are well within reach this season.
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